Anything Too Good to be True…

…usually is.

I got a link to this very interesting story, Hardware is Dead, at the site VentureBeat. Excerpt:

In the US, when we talk about tablets we usually mean the iPad and increasingly the Kindle devices, but beyond that there is not much else in the market. I had heard that tablets in China had already reached low price points. You can buy a reasonable Android phone for $100 retail, and I wanted to see if I could find a $150 tablet. This consultant pointed me to a mall filled with hundreds of stalls selling nothing but tablets. I walked into the middle of the scrum to a random stall. I pointed to one of the devices on display and asked, “How much for this one?” 300 kuai. My Mandarin is a bit rusty, so I had to ask again. Slowly, the stall owner repeated renminbi 300 yuan.

If this were a movie, the lights would have dimmed and all the activity in the room frozen. 300 renminbi is US $45. And that was the initial offer price given to a bewildered foreigner in China, no haggling. I felt a literal shock.

I bought the device and did some more research. This was a 7-inch tablet, Wi-Fi only with all the attributes of a good tablet. Capacitive touchscreen. Snappy processor. Front facing camera. 4GB of internal memory and an expandable memory slot.

I later found out that these devices are now all over the supply chain in Shenzhen. At volume, say 20,000 units, you can get them for $35 apiece. My device ran full Android 4.0 Ice Cream Sandwich and had access to the full Google API, including Gmail, Maps, YouTube and Google Play (not quite sure how that works either).

A $45 tablet computer.

The thrust of the article is that this is a game-changer. That at that price point, everyone will buy a tablet computer. I think the author is probably right about that. But here’s what I found interesting:

My contacts in the supply chain tell me they expect these devices to ship 20 million to 40 million units this year. Most of these designs are powered by a processor from a company that is not known outside China — All Winner. As a result, we have heard the tablets referred to as “A-Pads.”

When I show this tablet to people in the industry, they have universally shared my shock. And then they always ask “Who made it?” My stock answer is “Who cares?” But the truth of it is that I do not know. There was no brand on the box or on the device. I have combed some of the internal documentation and cannot find an answer. This is how far the Shenzhen electronics complex has evolved. The hardware maker literally does not matter. Contract manufacturers can download a reference design from the chip maker and build to suit customer orders.

Now China is the land from which rumors have been spreading about counterfeit microchips with embedded spyware.

If you wanted to do a real cyberjob on the American economy, imagine what a few months of spying on millions of people doing online purchases and online banking with their “A-Pads” would net you. Bank accounts and routing numbers, credit card numbers and security codes, or just introduce a Stuxnet-like virus into our financial system and let it run wild.

After all, nobody knows who’s building these things, right?  Doesn’t matter!

“All Winner.”  Well, the Chinese have a saying:  “Business is war.”

I know I’m paranoid, but sometimes I wonder if I’m paranoid enough.

Oh, sorry forgot to add this before I hit “Publish”:

Postscript
I thought discovering the A-Pad was pretty exciting. So I was dismayed to find that the week after I got back from China, a device that looks a lot like my A-Pad was on sale at Fry’s Electronics for $79. No brand listed. The process has already begun.

Quote of the Day – We’re Winning Edition

From A Girl and Her Gun:

About an hour later TSM and I are chit chatting with a woman and out of no where she whispers “Are you preppers?” Up until this point I had not mentioned guns, self defense, zombies…nothing. She said just the way I spoke made her wonder. Anyway she and her husband are and she writes for a small prepping blog. I forgot exactly which one or I would link it. During the course of that first conversation about guns, I mentioned working for John and she told me her friend is a firearms instructor and handed me her card. Turns out her friend is one of The Pistol Packing Ladies. The blog came up and she said, Oh, I have read that.

The whole rest of the night was spent discussing guns, fighting, knives, politics and self defense. She is not a women that is going to let anyone mess with her. She shared a couple of very cool stories. Her daughter is being raised to be a strong, confident, young lady, who knows her worth and is hundred percent willing to fight for herself.

Another lady there was a former police officer and she is looking to buy a gun. Lots of fun talk about that. She has actually had a bit of trouble where she lives and with a husband who travels, she is getting more serious about an improved home protection plan.

When we left the host said, well, I have never been to a party where the women spent the entire night talking about knife fighting.

Just a point of clarification – in this case “TSM” is a TLA for “The Sexy Marine” – AGirl’s better half, not “The Smallest Minority.”

(*sigh*)

SandCastle Air

For the first six Gun Blogger Rendezvous, I drove from Tucson to Reno.  It’s about 15 hours each way, if you average 55MPH over the trip including stops for food and fuel.  I can do that in one shot, but that’s about my limit.  This year I got an interesting offer.  Danno from Sandcastle Scrolls was going for the first time – and Dan owns a plane.  A plane that cruises at 200MPH.  Specifically, this plane:


Pretty, isn’t it?  It’s a 1967 Cessna 310, with two Continental fuel-injected 471 cubic-inch six-cylinder boxer engines rated at about 260Hp each.  At 200MPH, they burn about 25GPH for an average fuel economy of 8MPG – not bad at that speed.  As Dan reported on his blog,

We fired up the #1 engine at 10:27 local and shut them down 3:26 later on the ramp at Carson City.  (note flight time is not the same as engine time.  Engine time includes taxi time at each end while flight time is from take off to landing.)

Beats the hell out of 15 hours.  Including idling, run-up, takeoff and landing, we burned about 91 gallons each way.  At well over $5/gal.  Ouch.  Still, the scenery from 8500 to 10,000 ft ASL is a lot nicer than it is at ground level over Nevada:


Trust me, the desert is MUCH prettier from the air.  And you don’t get to do this – our approach and landing at Carson City:

http://static.photobucket.com/player.swf
Dan’s been flying about 25 years.  He greased the landing at Carson, and did it even better on our return to Chandler.  Not a bad way to travel!  And without blogging, I’d never have gotten this chance.

Oh, and the speed?  Here’s the proof:


That’s from the GPS on my Blackberry.

Movie Recommendation

No, not 2016 – if you read this blog you probably already know everything Dinesh D’Souza had to say in that one.  No, the film I want to recommend to you today is also a documentary, but it’s not about politics, it’s about a lot of other things – education looming largely among them.  It’s Thunder Soul, a 2010 documentary about the Kashmere High School Stage Band:

Largely, it’s about Conrad O. “Prof” Johnson, the music director of Houston, Texas’s Kashmere High School from the late 60’s until 1978, and the effect he had on the kids he helped educate. From an Amazon review:

The action which forms the core of the film takes place in 2008 when a couple of band alumni from the 1971-4 period – just before Prof retired – decide to find all the old band members – now scattered around the country, with most having not lifted their instruments in years – and hold a “reunion concert” for the then 93 year old teacher. We watch as they come together and practice for the “big night”. Director Mark Landesman interviews Prof in these later years but also incorporates clips from a 1974 documentary on the band titled “Prof & the Band”.

[youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hiodQURIe0M?rel=0]

The documentary is available from Netflix streaming.

Watch this documentary, pay attention to what “Prof” has to say, and what his students have to say about him, and ask yourself how we went from that in the turbulent early 1970’s to what we have today. 

One Small Step for Man


On this day at 02:56 UTC 43 years ago, Neil Armstrong became the first human being to leave one of these on the surface of another astronomical body. Three years and five months later, Eugene Cernan became the last man to do so, so far.

The last Space Shuttle touched down for the last time on this day one year ago.

Elon Musk of PayPal, Tesla and SpaceX fame has said that the impetus behind the development of SpaceX came when his son asked him, “is it really true that they used to fly to the moon when you were a boy?”

Now there are two-dozen or more private space ventures around the world. There is a plan to capture and retrieve an asteroid for commercial purposes. Two companies want to mine the moon.

If we can just hold it together for a couple more decades, humanity might get off this rock, and we might do it in my lifetime.

But it’s not looking too good.

Go, Baby, GO!

Forty-three years ago today I was with my family (minus Dad, who was at work at IBM’s facility at the Kennedy Space Center) on the Eastern shore of the Indian River approximately three and a half miles from Launch Complex 39 when the Saturn V launch vehicle carrying Apollo 11 left Earth for its historic trip to the Moon:

[youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zGNryrsT7OI?rel=0]
I was seven years old. This was the seventh launch of a Saturn V that I had seen, and I was old enough to really grok that this time, we were going to land on the Moon! The crowds were incredible, far larger than for any previous launch. Some huckster was selling gray spray-painted coquina rock as “moon rocks” to moronic tourists. One of our group with a large pair of binoculars yelled out “They’re getting ready to launch, Edna! I can see the guy with the match!” Around us, dozens of cameras were pointed at the rocket. But that’s the first time I can recall where the expression “the excitement was palpable” was literally factual. It was like a force of its own.

I don’t have a lot of memories from my early childhood, but this I remember. We were reaching for the stars.

Quote of the Day – Giant Amoeba Edition

It’s not civil disobedience that I’m talking about. It’s the opposite: Civil disobedience is meant to be noticed. It is a price paid in the hope of creating social change. What I’m talking about is not based on hope; in fact, it has given up much hope on social change. It thinks the government is a colossal amoeba twitching mindlessly in response to tiny pinpricks of pain from an endless army of micro-brained interest groups. The point is not to teach the amoeba nor to guide it, but simply to stay away from the lethal stupidity of its pseudopods.

The amoeba does not get smarter but it does get hungrier and bigger. On the other hand, we get smarter. More and more of our life takes place outside of the amoeba’s reach: in the privacy of our own homes, or in capital accounts in other nations, or in the fastest growing amoeba avoidance zone ever created, cyberspace. We revolt decision by decision, transaction by transaction, because we believe deep down that most of what government tells us to do is at bottom illegitimate.

— Jerry Bowyer, Americans Revolt Billions of Times a Day

I’m reminded of something that Rev. Donald Sensing wrote:

A long time ago Steven Den Beste observed in an essay, “The job of bureaucrats is to regulate, and left to themselves, they will regulate everything they can.” Celebrated author Robert Heinlein wrote, “In any advanced society, ‘civil servant’ is a euphemism for ‘civil master.'” Both quotes are not exact, but they’re pretty close. And they’re both exactly right. Big government is itself apolitical. It cares not whose party is in power. It simply continues to grow. Its nourishment is the people’s money. Its excrement is more and more regulations and laws. Like the Terminator, “that’s what it does, that’s all it does.”

Too bad we don’t have enough antimatter.

UPDATE: More on the giant amoeba by Roger Kimball. I think Roger needs to read TSM.

Mortality

At my last job, the lead engineer on the project I was involved in was about five years older than me.  Peter was divorced, with grown children.  He had a Harley he loved to ride, an old house he had recently purchased, gutted and was remodeling, and a real zest for life.  He was careful (but not obsessive) about what he ate, he exercised regularly and took pretty good care of himself.

I liked the guy.  He was an early and active member of Architects and Engineers for 9/11 Truth, and we had several long discussions on that topic, but we also talked about other things.  He had a wicked sense of humor.

On Tuesday, June 26 at about 6AM he was out taking his morning walk when a 68 year old man driving a Toyota struck and killed him.  He would have been fifty-five on July 17.  I found out about it today.

Just.  Damn.